Gipson vs. Hosemann vs. White vs. Fitch vs. Duff: Analyzing the Latest Poll
Recent polling data provides a snapshot of the current competitive landscape among five key candidates: Andy Gipson, Delbert Hosemann, Lynn Fitch, Tommy Duff, and Shad White. As voters weigh their options, the data reveals a fragmented field with a significant portion of the electorate still undecided.
Key Facts
- Tarrance Group (R) conducted the poll between October 27 and October 30, 2025.
- The survey utilized a sample size of 600 registered voters (RV).
- The margin of error for the results is ± 4.1%.
- Undecided voters make up the largest group at 42%.
- Andy Gipson currently leads the named candidates with 17% support.
Poll Methodology and Overview
The data was collected by the Tarrance Group (R), a polling firm, over a four-day window ending October 30, 2025. To ensure statistical reliability, the poll surveyed 600 registered voters (RV), which refers to individuals officially registered to vote in their respective jurisdictions. The margin of error—the amount of random sampling error in the survey's results—is ± 4.1%, meaning the actual percentage of the population could vary slightly from the reported figures.
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Candidate Performance Breakdown
The current standings show a tight race among the top contenders. Andy Gipson holds a slight lead at 17%, followed closely by Delbert Hosemann at 15%. Shad White is tied with Hosemann at 15%, creating a three-way battle for the top position.
Further down the field, Lynn Fitch holds 9% of the support, while Tommy Duff trails with 2%. The most striking figure in the data is the 42% of respondents who remain undecided, suggesting that the final outcome remains highly volatile as the campaign progresses.
| Candidate | Percentage Support |
|---|---|
| Andy Gipson | 17% |
| Delbert Hosemann | 15% |
| Shad White | 15% |
| Lynn Fitch | 9% |
| Tommy Duff | 2% |
| Undecided | 42% |
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is currently leading in the poll?
Andy Gipson is currently in the lead with 17% of the vote.
What is the margin of error for this survey?
The margin of error for this poll is ± 4.1%.
How many people were surveyed in this poll?
The sample size consisted of 600 registered voters.
What percentage of voters are still undecided?
A significant 42% of respondents are currently undecided.
When was this data collected?
The poll was administered from October 27 to October 30, 2025.